Thursday, September 22, 2011

Kenyan shilling slumps to record low for third day


The Kenyan shilling slumped to a record low against the dollar on Thursday on the back of euro weakness and has now fallen 3.3 percent against the greenback so far this week.
The shilling traded at a new low of 98.20 after setting record lows of 97.20 on Wednesday and 96.11 on Tuesday and traders said they were watching to see if the central bank would step in for the second straight day to curb the slide.
"It's still driven by Europe. We can see the euro overnight has slipped a bit, so that's the reason. That's key. It's just in line with what is happening," said Kennedy Butiko, deputy head of treasury at Bank of Africa.
Currencies in frontier markets such as Kenya often suffer when the dollar climbs against other major currencies on the perception there will be increased aversion to investing in riskier markets.
"The shilling is moving on global moves at the moment. We are waiting to see if the central bank will come in. Right now the market needs some liquidity," said Dickson Magecha, a trader at Standard Chartered Bank.
The central bank sold an unspecified amount of dollars on Wednesday to try and curb the shilling's fall. It climbed off an intra-day low of 97.20 but weakened again on the back of importer demand for the U.S. currency.
Some traders said they were a sceptical about whether central bank intervention would be able to stem the shilling's decline, unless it were prolonged.
"There's a bit of fear, caution and market jitters. We have seen wide spreads of as much as 1 shilling," said a senior trader at one commercial bank.
"Intervention did not work, did not yield much, and if they want to contain the market they need to come back again into the market by continuous selling of dollars," he said.
Traders said the central bank, however, may have limited scope to offload hard currency on a sustained basis given foreign exchange reserves at the end of last week stood at 3.53 months of import cover, below a target of four months.
The central bank also injected 15.3 billion shillings into the domestic money market on Wednesday in a bid to avoid a liquidity crunch ahead of government debt auctions.
The extra liquidity did not, however, prevent both a two-year Treasury bond auction and a 182-day Treasury bill sale from being heavily undersubscribed, helping to push yields higher.

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